Workshop on use of probabilistic population forecasts – Royal Statistical Society – 19 June 2014
The main aim of the workshop is to bring together both academics and practitioners of probabilistic population forecasting to discuss barriers to the uses of probabilistic forecasts and possible ways to overcome them. A second aim is to learn from the best practice in other areas of application of probabilistic forecasting.
The focus of the programme will be on various aspects of communicating uncertainty in demographic forecasting, and on developing practical guidelines both for “producers”, as well as “consumers” (users) of probabilistic population forecasts.
Confirmed speakers and panellists include (in alphabetical order):
. Dr Isabel Alberts (German Weather Service)
. Prof. Juha Alho (University of Helsinki)
. Dr John Bryant (Statistics New Zealand)
. Dr Thomas Buettner (formerly UN Population Division)
. Dr Patrick Gerland (UN Population Division)
. Prof. Nico Keilman (University of Oslo)
. Dr Giampaolo Lanzieri (Eurostat)
. Prof. Anthony O’Hagan (University of Sheffield)
. Dr Luca Onorante (Central Bank of Ireland)
. Mr Darragh Owens (aviation)
. Prof. Adrian Raftery (University of Washington)
. Dr Hana Ševčíková (University of Washington)
. Prof. Frans Willekens (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research)
. A representative of the Office for National Statistics (TBC)
The event is jointly organised by the ESRC Centre for Population Change, the EPSRC Care Life Cycle Project at the University of Southampton, and the Probabilistic Population Projection Group at the University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
The registration fee is 50GBP per person (25GBP for students). It covers the programme, buffet lunch, as well as morning and afternoon refreshments.
For further information and to register for the course, please see http://www.cpc.ac.uk/events/?action=story&id=307. Registration for the event closes on 31 May 2014. The number of places is limited, so please book early to avoid disappointment.
All enquiries should be directed to cpc@southampton.ac.uk